This week’s theme is “Street Warriors”. I wager on the street recreation in all however one of many video games on The Napkin this week. And even then, the house group I picked is a home-dog.
Often, I wouldn’t wish to be so one dimensional with my picks, however I really feel like there’s some critical worth with the street groups this week. When the street group you suppose goes to win straight up is getting factors, it makes it a simple resolution.
On this slate, we’ve got 4 particular person bets and one three-team moneyline parlay. Paradoxically, all three video games concerned within the moneyline parlay kickoff at 3:30 p.m. EDT, so we’ll understand how The Serviette did earlier than the Florida vs USF recreation even kicks off.
I went 4-3 last week with my picks to convey us to 6-6 on the season. I really feel good to this point as a result of, in my guide, a push is a win.
All odds are offered by BetMGM, our present official associate right here at Gators Wire.
With out additional ado, The Serviette for Week 3.
FAU (+8.5) VS UCF
I do know precisely what you’re considering. “Sergio, didn’t you say that you just shouldn’t wager on groups you’re emotionally connected to?”
Sure, I did say that. And sure, I broke that rule in Week 1. However I’m gonna break it once more as a result of FAU is a house canine by greater than a landing distinction. I really feel like that line justifies Rule No. 2, which states the next:
If the road is true, I’m allowed to interrupt rule No. 1
Earlier this week, I wrote my column on the philosophy behind rooting for a group that isn’t your major group. Within the case of UCF vs FAU, I’m caught between a rock and a tough place. I will probably be attending this recreation and would be the lone FAU supporter amongst a gaggle of double-digit UCF followers.
Giving myself an eight-point cushion feels just like the good play right here. Go Owls.
Decide: FAU (+8.5)
UTSA (+12.5) VS Texas
Take a look at me, betting on a recreation involving UTSA for the third week in a row.
I really feel like Texas followers suppose I’m a hypocrite. I spent most of last week bashing the Longhorns and saying that they wouldn’t stand an opportunity in opposition to Alabama. Then I came back and apologized for not taking them significantly. Now I’m choosing in opposition to them? At dwelling? Towards an in-state Group of 5 opponent?
This wager has every little thing to do with the quarterback place for the Longhorns. The quarterback room is non-existent proper now. Quinn Ewers is out for the subsequent month, at a minimal, and Hudson Card was visibly limping after changing Ewers within the Alabama recreation.
Texas coach Steve Sarkisian has but to call a beginning for this recreation. Redshirt freshman Charles Wright appears to be the subsequent man up, however till Sark comes out and says it, I simply don’t know for certain. Plus, losses to Alabama have been identified to linger for an additional week.
I like a plunky UTSA getting 12.5 factors right here.
Decide: UTSA (+12.5)
Michigan State (+3) vs Washington
This one could be very fascinating. Michigan State noticed nationwide relevance final yr thanks partially to Mel Tucker’s full revamp of this system. Kenneth Walker III put collectively a Heisman candidate final yr after carrying the Spartans for many of the season.
Washington, then again, had a really unusual yr. The Huskies fired Jimmy Lake after solely 13 video games as the top of this system after an odd saga that noticed Lake suspended for an altercation with a participant on the sidelines.
In comes Kalen DeBoer, who most not too long ago had a profitable marketing campaign at Fresno State. The Washington program appears to be working by some inside points, just like what the Gators are going by with Billy Napier.
I believe, even with out Kenneth Walker III, Mel Tucker can lead his Spartans to win outright, so the truth that I’m getting a three-point insurance coverage coverage right here makes this recreation too good to move up.
Decide: Michigan State (+3)
Miami (FL) (+6) vs Texas A&M
Here’s what I wrote about Texas A&M and Jimbo Fisher final week:
Texas A&M is constantly overhyped, in my view. For a group that spends a lot cash on their program infrastructure and recruits in addition to they do, they certain don’t have a lot to point out for it. One in all their points is how a lot Jimbo Fisher places on his quarterbacks. Fisher is seen as this quarterback guru, a prime developer of the place. Outdoors of Jameis Winston, who has been in a position to reach Jimbo’s system?
And that was *earlier than* the loss to App State! I might need so as to add an “A&M Precept” to my betting guidelines. Anytime you will get greater than 4 factors in opposition to Texas A&M, you’re taking them.
Miami is a group that I’m nonetheless not 100% certain about. They struggled in opposition to Southern Miss within the first half earlier than pulling away within the second. What they do have is a extremely good quarterback in Tyler Van Dyke. In a world the place I don’t belief Jimbo Fisher and Miami has an NFL prospect making the throws, I can really feel snug with my six-point cushion.
Decide: Miami (+6)
“Street Warriors” Parlay – Penn State ML vs Auburn
The primary street group in my “Street Warriors” parlay that might probably disappoint me is the Penn State Nittany Lions.
The return leg of final yr’s “White Out” recreation, it looks as if these groups can’t afford a loss. Penn State doesn’t appear to be a group that may compete with division foes Ohio State and Michigan. Sean Clifford is… positive. You understand precisely what you’re going to get from him.
Auburn tried to fireside their coach this season by framing him for being a locker room most cancers and in addition for having an affair with a staffer. So, yeah. That’s Auburn proper now.
In a battle of two “every little thing is okay, I promise” groups, I’ll take the one which didn’t launch a coup to switch their head coach. Plus, as a lot as I’m detached to Sean Clifford’s skills, there’s no manner I’m trusting Auburn quarterback T.J. Finley to win me a detailed recreation.
One thing one thing, “the lesser of two evils.”
Decide: Penn State ML
“Street Warriors” Parlay – BYU ML vs Oregon
BYU is coming off a large OT win in opposition to Baylor that noticed followers storm the sector in celebration. Knocking off the defending Large-12 champions is a step in the proper path for the potential Faculty Soccer Playoff darkish horse candidate.
For those who noticed the Oregon opener in opposition to Georgia, you too would really feel as snug as I do for the Cougars to get the win on the street.
Decide: BYU ML
“Street Warriors” Parlay – Vanderbilt ML vs Northern Illinois
BetMGM set the Vanderbilt preseason win whole at 2.5 wins.
This may be the final probability for the Commodores to surpass their projection, one thing that each school soccer fan ought to have a good time.
This decide is straight vibes and the idea that Vanderbilt followers want one thing, something to carry on too.
Anchor down, or no matter.
Decide: Vanderbilt ML
Place your bets
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